Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Petroski vs Micheal Gillmore

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record6-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73"Reach72"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Renzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamMurcielago MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Andre Petroski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Micheal Gillmore carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andre PetroskiNow 1648
If they win+10→ 1658
If they lose-22→ 1626
Micheal GillmoreNow 1521
If they win+22→ 1543
If they lose-10→ 1511

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.81
Sig. strikes / min
2.04
49%
Strike accuracy
57%
2.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
53%
Strike defense
43%
3.15
Takedown avg.
0
52%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
86%
Takedown defense
50%
1.28
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andre PetroskiMicheal Gillmore
150015501600165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
4 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (38%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Andre Petroski81%
Micheal Gillmore 19%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Andre Petroski a 81% favorite over Micheal Gillmore in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Andre Petroski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1521, a 127-point edge.

Andre Petroski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Micheal Gillmore enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andre Petroski finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Micheal Gillmore 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.