Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Petroski vs Michel Pereira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record32-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
73"Reach73"
186 lbsWeight186 lbs
Renzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamOvercome Academy

What's at stake

Michel Pereira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Andre Petroski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andre PetroskiNow 1648
If they win+18→ 1666
If they lose-14→ 1634
Michel PereiraNow 1695
If they win+10→ 1705
If they lose-14→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.81
Sig. strikes / min
4.46
49%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
53%
Strike defense
51%
3.15
Takedown avg.
1.21
52%
Takedown accuracy
57%
86%
Takedown defense
76%
1.28
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Andre PetroskiMichel Pereira
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
11 (34%)
4 (31%)
Submission
9 (28%)
5 (38%)
Decision
12 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Michel Pereira60%
Andre Petroski 40%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Michel Pereira a 60% favorite over Andre Petroski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Michel Pereira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1648, a 47-point edge.

Andre Petroski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andre Petroski finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Michel Pereira 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.