Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Petroski vs Wellington Turman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record18-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73"Reach 72"
186 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renzo Gracie PhillyTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

Andre Petroski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Wellington Turman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andre PetroskiNow 1647
If they win+15→ 1662
If they lose-17→ 1630
Wellington TurmanNow 1617
If they win+13→ 1630
If they lose-11→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.81
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
49%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.17
53%
Strike defense
45%
3.15
Takedown avg.
1.55
52%
Takedown accuracy
21%
86%
Takedown defense
43%
1.28
Submission avg.
0.78

Trajectory

Andre PetroskiWellington Turman
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
4 (31%)
Submission
8 (44%)
5 (38%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Andre Petroski60%
Wellington Turman 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Andre Petroski a 60% favorite over Wellington Turman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Andre Petroski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1617, a 30-point edge.

Andre Petroski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Wellington Turman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andre Petroski finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Wellington Turman 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.