Andre Petroski vs Zach Reese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
73"Reach77"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Renzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamW4R Training Center· 1622 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andre PetroskiZach Reese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zach Reese60%
Andre Petroski 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Zach Reese a 60% favorite over Andre Petroski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andre Petroski's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1644), separated by just 4 points.
Andre Petroski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Zach Reese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Andre Petroski finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Zach Reese 80%.
Andre Petroski and Zach Reese share 2 common opponents: Cody Brundage and Michel Pereira.
Zach Reese carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.