Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Santos vs Badreddine Diani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

38-12-0Record11-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
70,0"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cacadores TeamTeamRebels Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andre SantosNow 1623
If they win+12→ 1635
If they lose-12→ 1611
Badreddine DianiNow 1624
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
26%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0.98
Takedown avg.
TBD
14%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.65
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andre SantosBadreddine Diani
15501600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (13%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
22 (58%)
Submission
2 (18%)
11 (29%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Badreddine Diani60%
Andre Santos 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Badreddine Diani a 60% favorite over Andre Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1624), separated by just 1 points.

Andre Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Badreddine Diani enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Andre Santos finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Badreddine Diani 36%.

Badreddine Diani carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.