Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Santos vs Niko Price

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Niko Price
us

Niko Price

“The Hybrid”

16-11-0WelterweightUFC

1624Solid

Tale of the tape

38-12-0Record16-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
70,0"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cacadores TeamTeamFutures MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andre SantosNow 1623
If they win+12→ 1635
If they lose-12→ 1611
Niko PriceNow 1624
If they win+12→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
5.13
26%
Strike accuracy
43%
5.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.61
50%
Strike defense
48%
0.98
Takedown avg.
0.98
14%
Takedown accuracy
28%
67%
Takedown defense
50%
0.65
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Andre SantosNiko Price
1650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (13%)
KO/TKO
10 (63%)
22 (58%)
Submission
3 (19%)
11 (29%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Niko Price66%
Andre Santos 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Niko Price a 66% favorite over Andre Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1624), separated by just 1 points.

Andre Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andre Santos finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.

Niko Price carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.