Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Winner vs Dennis Siver

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-13-2Record23-11-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
TBDReach70,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Rough HouseTeamKiboju

What's at stake

Dennis Siver is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Andre Winner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andre WinnerNow 1572
If they win+15→ 1587
If they lose-9→ 1563
Dennis SiverNow 1668
If they win+9→ 1677
If they lose-15→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.52
Sig. strikes / min
3.87
33%
Strike accuracy
32%
4.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.67
52%
Strike defense
65%
0
Takedown avg.
0.87
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
74%
Takedown defense
65%
0
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Andre WinnerDennis Siver
1600165020152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

4 (18%)
KO/TKO
7 (30%)
4 (18%)
Submission
7 (30%)
14 (64%)
Decision
9 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Dennis Siver61%
Andre Winner 39%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Dennis Siver a 61% favorite over Andre Winner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Dennis Siver holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1572, a 96-point edge.

Andre Winner enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andre Winner finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Dennis Siver 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.