Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Winner vs Joseph Donkor

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-13-2Record6-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height-
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Rough HouseTeamBox Club Gifhorn

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andre WinnerNow 1572
If they win+12→ 1584
If they lose-12→ 1560
Joseph DonkorNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.52
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
33%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
74%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andre WinnerJoseph Donkor
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (18%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
4 (18%)
Submission
3 (50%)
14 (64%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Joseph Donkor64%
Andre Winner 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Donkor a 64% favorite over Andre Winner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andre Winner's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1571), separated by just 1 points.

Andre Winner enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andre Winner finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Donkor 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.