Andre Winner
Elo1572SolidAndre Winner vs Nik Lentz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →Elo1572Solid
Tale of the tape
22-13-2Record30-12-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Rough HouseTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Nik Lentz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Andre Winner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1587
If they lose-9→ 1563
If they win+9→ 1679
If they lose-15→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andre WinnerNik Lentz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nik Lentz75%
Andre Winner 25%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Nik Lentz a 75% favorite over Andre Winner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Nik Lentz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1572, a 98-point edge.
Andre Winner enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andre Winner finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Nik Lentz 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.