Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Winner vs Rolando Delgado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-13-2Record11-6-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Rough HouseTeamWestside Fight Team

What's at stake

Andre Winner is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Rolando Delgado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andre WinnerNow 1572
If they win+9→ 1581
If they lose-15→ 1557
Rolando DelgadoNow 1487
If they win+30→ 1517
If they lose-18→ 1469

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.52
Sig. strikes / min
1.56
33%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.83
52%
Strike defense
62%
0
Takedown avg.
1.17
0%
Takedown accuracy
22%
74%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
3.51

Trajectory

Andre WinnerRolando Delgado
15001550160020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

4 (18%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
4 (18%)
Submission
6 (55%)
14 (64%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Andre Winner56%
Rolando Delgado 44%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Andre Winner a 56% favorite over Rolando Delgado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Andre Winner holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1572 to 1487, a 85-point edge.

Andre Winner enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rolando Delgado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andre Winner finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Rolando Delgado 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.