Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrea Kabali vs Charlie Kohler

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record8-4-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
169 lbsWeight165 lbs
Black Wolf Kombat AcademyTeamSan Diego Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrea KabaliNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Charlie KohlerNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.81
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.31
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
4.04

Trajectory

Andrea KabaliCharlie Kohler
1500155016002005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (63%)
1 (25%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrea Kabali51%
Charlie Kohler 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrea Kabali a 51% favorite over Charlie Kohler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1561), separated by just 0 points.

Andrea Kabali finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Charlie Kohler 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.