Andrea Kabali vs Charlie Ward
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record10-7-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
-Reach42,0"
169 lbsWeight185 lbs
Black Wolf Kombat AcademyTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrea KabaliCharlie Ward
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrea Kabali64%
Charlie Ward 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrea Kabali a 64% favorite over Charlie Ward in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1559), separated by just 2 points.
Charlie Ward enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andrea Kabali finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Charlie Ward 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.