Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrea Kabali vs DaMarques Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record15-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black Wolf Kombat AcademyTeamElite Performance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrea KabaliNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
DaMarques JohnsonNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.11
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.75
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.18
TBD
Takedown accuracy
56%
TBD
Takedown defense
19%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Andrea KabaliDaMarques Johnson
155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (40%)
1 (25%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrea Kabali62%
DaMarques Johnson 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrea Kabali a 62% favorite over DaMarques Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans DaMarques Johnson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1562), separated by just 1 points.

DaMarques Johnson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andrea Kabali finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, DaMarques Johnson 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.