Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrea Kabali vs David Zawada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-Reach75"
169 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrea KabaliNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
David ZawadaNow 1560
If they win+12→ 1572
If they lose-12→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.97
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Andrea KabaliDavid Zawada
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (25%)
1 (25%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Andrea Kabali and David Zawada within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1560), separated by just 1 points.

Andrea Kabali finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, David Zawada 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.