Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrea Kabali vs Greg Soto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black Wolf Kombat AcademyTeamPellegrino MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrea KabaliNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Greg SotoNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.21
TBD
Strike accuracy
64%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.49
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
44%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.99

Trajectory

Andrea KabaliGreg Soto
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (44%)
1 (25%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrea Kabali63%
Greg Soto 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrea Kabali a 63% favorite over Greg Soto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1557), separated by just 4 points.

Greg Soto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrea Kabali finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Greg Soto 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.