Andrea Kabali vs Nick Serra
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record7-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black Wolf Kombat AcademyTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
If they win+24→ 1586
If they lose-24→ 1538
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrea KabaliNick Serra
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrea Kabali66%
Nick Serra 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrea Kabali a 66% favorite over Nick Serra in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Serra's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1562), separated by just 1 points.
Andrea Kabali finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Nick Serra 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.