Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrea Vázquez vs Nina Nunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nina Nunes
us

Nina Nunes

“The Strina”

11-7-0FlyweightUFC

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record11-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'5"
64"Reach64"
126 lbsWeight126 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrea VázquezNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Nina NunesNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.24
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
74%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Andrea VázquezNina Nunes
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
2 (25%)
Submission
2 (18%)
3 (38%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrea Vázquez62%
Nina Nunes 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrea Vázquez a 62% favorite over Nina Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1589), separated by just 1 points.

Andrea Vázquez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrea Vázquez finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Nina Nunes 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.