Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreas Michailidis vs Curtis Millender

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record22-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
76"Reach78"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
EFL AcademyTeamCSW

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreas MichailidisNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Curtis MillenderNow 1596
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.90
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
52%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.95
44%
Strike defense
61%
1.12
Takedown avg.
0.43
27%
Takedown accuracy
100%
50%
Takedown defense
57%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andreas MichailidisCurtis Millender
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
5 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (19%)
Decision
15 (68%)

Combat Edge model read

Andreas Michailidis56%
Curtis Millender 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andreas Michailidis a 56% favorite over Curtis Millender in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1596), separated by just 1 points.

Andreas Michailidis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Curtis Millender enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andreas Michailidis finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Curtis Millender 32%.

Andreas Michailidis and Curtis Millender share 1 common opponent: KB Bhullar.

Curtis Millender carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
KB Bhullar
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2023