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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreas Michailidis vs Curtis Millender

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record22-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
76"Reach78"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreas MichailidisNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Curtis MillenderNow 1599
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.90
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
52%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.95
44%
Strike defense
61%
1.12
Takedown avg.
0.43
27%
Takedown accuracy
100%
50%
Takedown defense
57%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andreas MichailidisCurtis Millender
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
5 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (19%)
Decision
15 (68%)

Combat Edge model read

Curtis Millender53%
Andreas Michailidis 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Millender a 53% favorite over Andreas Michailidis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andreas Michailidis's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.

Andreas Michailidis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Curtis Millender enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andreas Michailidis finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Curtis Millender 32%.

Andreas Michailidis and Curtis Millender share 1 common opponent: KB Bhullar.

Curtis Millender carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
KB Bhullar
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2023