Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreas Michailidis vs Devin Smyth

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Devin Smyth
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Devin Smyth

“The Prodigy”

10-4-0WelterweightLFA

1601Solid

Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record10-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
76"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
EFL AcademyTeamMurcielago MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreas MichailidisNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Devin SmythNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.90
Sig. strikes / min
2.60
52%
Strike accuracy
68%
3.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.73
44%
Strike defense
25%
1.12
Takedown avg.
4
27%
Takedown accuracy
27%
50%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andreas MichailidisDevin Smyth
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
5 (31%)
Submission
5 (50%)
3 (19%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Devin Smyth70%
Andreas Michailidis 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Devin Smyth a 70% favorite over Andreas Michailidis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1601), separated by just 4 points.

Andreas Michailidis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andreas Michailidis finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Devin Smyth 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.