Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreas Michailidis vs Eddy Ellis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eddy Ellis
us

Eddy Ellis

“Fast”

21-17-1WelterweightPFL

1599Solid

Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record21-17-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
76"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
EFL AcademyTeamUnited Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreas MichailidisNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Eddy EllisNow 1599
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.90
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
1.12
Takedown avg.
TBD
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andreas MichailidisEddy Ellis
160016502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (38%)
5 (31%)
Submission
9 (43%)
3 (19%)
Decision
4 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Andreas Michailidis and Eddy Ellis within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1599), separated by just 2 points.

Andreas Michailidis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andreas Michailidis finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Eddy Ellis 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.