Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreas Michailidis vs Edgar Garcia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record14-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
76"Reach39,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
EFL AcademyTeamArizona Athletic Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreas MichailidisNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Edgar GarciaNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.90
Sig. strikes / min
3.16
52%
Strike accuracy
30%
3.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.23
44%
Strike defense
60%
1.12
Takedown avg.
2.21
27%
Takedown accuracy
57%
50%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Andreas MichailidisEdgar Garcia
16001650201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
5 (31%)
Submission
4 (29%)
3 (19%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Edgar Garcia60%
Andreas Michailidis 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Edgar Garcia a 60% favorite over Andreas Michailidis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.

Andreas Michailidis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Edgar Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andreas Michailidis finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Edgar Garcia 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.