Andreas Michailidis vs Mario Gagliardi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record4-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
76"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight159 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andreas MichailidisMario Gagliardi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mario Gagliardi56%
Andreas Michailidis 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mario Gagliardi a 56% favorite over Andreas Michailidis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andreas Michailidis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1600), separated by just 0 points.
Andreas Michailidis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mario Gagliardi enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Andreas Michailidis finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Mario Gagliardi 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.