Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreas Michailidis vs Modestas Bukauskas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record20-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
76"Reach78"
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
EFL AcademyTeamGintas Combat

What's at stake

Modestas Bukauskas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Andreas Michailidis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andreas MichailidisNow 1597
If they win+21→ 1618
If they lose-11→ 1586
Modestas BukauskasNow 1707
If they win+8→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.90
Sig. strikes / min
3.24
52%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.05
44%
Strike defense
51%
1.12
Takedown avg.
0.26
27%
Takedown accuracy
67%
50%
Takedown defense
79%
0
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Andreas MichailidisModestas Bukauskas
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
5 (31%)
Submission
3 (15%)
3 (19%)
Decision
6 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Modestas Bukauskas83%
Andreas Michailidis 17%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Modestas Bukauskas a 83% favorite over Andreas Michailidis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Modestas Bukauskas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1597, a 110-point edge.

Andreas Michailidis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andreas Michailidis finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Modestas Bukauskas 70%.

Modestas Bukauskas carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.