Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreas Stahl vs Danny Roberts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Roberts
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Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record18-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
42,0"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreas StahlNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.83
Sig. strikes / min
3.18
38%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
58%
Strike defense
51%
1.55
Takedown avg.
0.24
67%
Takedown accuracy
10%
80%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Andreas StahlDanny Roberts
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
1 (6%)
Submission
5 (28%)
8 (50%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Andreas Stahl56%
Danny Roberts 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andreas Stahl a 56% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1617), separated by just 3 points.

Andreas Stahl enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andreas Stahl finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Danny Roberts 72%.

Andreas Stahl and Danny Roberts share 1 common opponent: David Zawada.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Loss Knee & Punches · 2017
David Zawada
WinDEC · 2018