Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreas Stahl vs Gilbert Burns

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record22-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
42,0"Reach 71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
RenyiTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Gilbert Burns is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Andreas Stahl carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andreas StahlNow 1620
If they win+22→ 1642
If they lose-10→ 1610
Gilbert BurnsNow 1745
If they win+8→ 1753
If they lose-16→ 1729

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1777 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.83
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
38%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
58%
Strike defense
52%
1.55
Takedown avg.
2.12
67%
Takedown accuracy
38%
80%
Takedown defense
54%
0
Submission avg.
0.46

Trajectory

Andreas StahlGilbert Burns
16001700180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
6 (27%)
1 (6%)
Submission
9 (41%)
8 (50%)
Decision
7 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Gilbert Burns75%
Andreas Stahl 25%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Burns a 75% favorite over Andreas Stahl in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Gilbert Burns holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1620, a 125-point edge.

Andreas Stahl enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Andreas Stahl finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Burns 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.