Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreas Stahl vs Zach Scroggin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
42,0"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight183 lbs
RenyiTeamMarathon MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreas StahlNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
Zach ScrogginNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.83
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
38%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.80
58%
Strike defense
69%
1.55
Takedown avg.
0
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andreas StahlZach Scroggin
1500155016001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
1 (6%)
Submission
2 (29%)
8 (50%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Zach Scroggin61%
Andreas Stahl 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zach Scroggin a 61% favorite over Andreas Stahl in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1623), separated by just 3 points.

Andreas Stahl enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Andreas Stahl finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Zach Scroggin 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.