Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreeas Binder vs Anthony Pettis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record25-14-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach72,5"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
SBG CharlestownTeamRoufusport

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreeas BinderNow 1680
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
Anthony PettisNow 1680
If they win+12→ 1692
If they lose-12→ 1668

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.05
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.61
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Andreeas BinderAnthony Pettis
1650170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
11 (44%)
2 (17%)
Submission
8 (32%)
2 (17%)
Decision
6 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Andreeas Binder71%
Anthony Pettis 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andreeas Binder a 71% favorite over Anthony Pettis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1680), separated by just 0 points.

Andreeas Binder enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Anthony Pettis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andreeas Binder finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Anthony Pettis 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.