Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreeas Binder vs Mike Graves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record11-1-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG CharlestownTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreeas BinderNow 1680
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
Mike GravesNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.25
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.47
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.80
TBD
Takedown accuracy
52%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Andreeas BinderMike Graves
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
2 (17%)
Submission
3 (27%)
2 (17%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Andreeas Binder62%
Mike Graves 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andreeas Binder a 62% favorite over Mike Graves in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Graves's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1683), separated by just 3 points.

Andreeas Binder enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Mike Graves enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Andreeas Binder finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mike Graves 73%.

Andreeas Binder and Mike Graves share 1 common opponent: Oton Jasse.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO (Punches) · 2026
Oton Jasse
WinSubmission (Guillotine Choke) · 2020