Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreeas Binder vs Yoshihiro Akiyama

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach73,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG CharlestownTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreeas BinderNow 1680
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
Yoshihiro AkiyamaNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.10
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.62
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.29
TBD
Takedown accuracy
68%
TBD
Takedown defense
93%
TBD
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Andreeas BinderYoshihiro Akiyama
165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
2 (17%)
Submission
7 (44%)
2 (17%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Andreeas Binder70%
Yoshihiro Akiyama 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andreeas Binder a 70% favorite over Yoshihiro Akiyama in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1678), separated by just 2 points.

Andreeas Binder enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Yoshihiro Akiyama enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Andreeas Binder finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Yoshihiro Akiyama 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.