Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrei Arlovski vs Anthony Wint

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

34-24-0Record8-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'11"
77"Reach78"
245 lbsWeight238 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Anthony Wint is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Andrei Arlovski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrei ArlovskiNow 1637
If they win+14→ 1651
If they lose-10→ 1627
Anthony WintNow 1684
If they win+21→ 1705
If they lose-27→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.82
Sig. strikes / min
22.94
46%
Strike accuracy
72%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0
57%
Strike defense
100%
0.37
Takedown avg.
0
35%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
77%
Takedown defense
100%
0.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andrei ArlovskiAnthony Wint
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
3 (9%)
Submission
2 (25%)
14 (41%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Wint92%
Andrei Arlovski 8%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Wint a 92% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Anthony Wint holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1684 to 1637, a 47-point edge.

Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Anthony Wint enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Anthony Wint 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.