Andrei Arlovski vs Antonio Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-24-0Record19-15-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
77"Reach80,0"
245 lbsWeight264 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Andrei Arlovski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Antonio Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1656
If they lose-14→ 1632
If they win+14→ 1602
If they lose-10→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andrei ArlovskiAntonio Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Andrei Arlovski and Antonio Silva within a point of even.
Andrei Arlovski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1588, a 58-point edge.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Antonio Silva enters on a 9-fight loss streak.
Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Antonio Silva 89%.
Antonio Silva carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.