Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrei Arlovski vs Antonio Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Antonio Silva
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Antonio Silva

“Bigfoot”

19-15-1HeavyweightAmerican Top Team

1596Solid

Tale of the tape

34-24-0Record19-15-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
77"Reach80,0"
245 lbsWeight264 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Andrei Arlovski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Antonio Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrei ArlovskiNow 1637
If they win+11→ 1648
If they lose-13→ 1624
Antonio SilvaNow 1596
If they win+13→ 1609
If they lose-11→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.82
Sig. strikes / min
2.89
46%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.09
57%
Strike defense
50%
0.37
Takedown avg.
0.82
35%
Takedown accuracy
30%
77%
Takedown defense
67%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

Andrei ArlovskiAntonio Silva
160016501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

17 (50%)
KO/TKO
15 (79%)
3 (9%)
Submission
2 (11%)
14 (41%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Antonio Silva62%
Andrei Arlovski 38%Elo baseline: 44%

The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Silva a 62% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrei Arlovski's way (44%).

Andrei Arlovski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1596, a 41-point edge.

Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Antonio Silva enters on a 8-fight loss streak.

Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Antonio Silva 89%.

Antonio Silva carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.