Andrei Arlovski vs Ben Rothwell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
34-24-0Record39-14-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
77"Reach78"
245 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Top TeamTeamRothwell MMA
What's at stake
Ben Rothwell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Andrei Arlovski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1652
If they lose-9→ 1628
If they win+9→ 1722
If they lose-15→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrei ArlovskiBen Rothwell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ben Rothwell83%
Andrei Arlovski 17%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Ben Rothwell a 83% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Ben Rothwell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1637, a 76-point edge.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Ben Rothwell 90%.
Andrei Arlovski and Ben Rothwell share 1 common opponent: Marcos Rogerio de Lima.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.