Andrei Arlovski vs Frank Mir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-24-0Record19-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
77"Reach79"
245 lbsWeight262 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFrank Mir Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andrei ArlovskiFrank Mir
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Frank Mir59%
Andrei Arlovski 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Frank Mir a 59% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrei Arlovski's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1638), separated by just 8 points.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Frank Mir 78%.
Frank Mir carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.