Andrei Arlovski vs Frank Mir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-24-0Record19-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
77"Reach79"
245 lbsWeight262 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFrank Mir Gym
What's at stake
Andrei Arlovski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Frank Mir carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1648
If they lose-13→ 1624
If they win+13→ 1633
If they lose-11→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrei ArlovskiFrank Mir
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Frank Mir70%
Andrei Arlovski 30%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Frank Mir a 70% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrei Arlovski's way (48%).
Andrei Arlovski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1620, a 17-point edge.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Frank Mir 78%.
Frank Mir carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.