Andrei Arlovski vs Ian Freeman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-24-0Record20-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height5'11"
77"ReachTBD
245 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMachine MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1649
If they lose-12→ 1625
If they win+15→ 1663
If they lose-17→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrei ArlovskiIan Freeman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ian Freeman70%
Andrei Arlovski 30%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Ian Freeman a 70% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1648), separated by just 11 points.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ian Freeman enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Ian Freeman 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.