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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrei Arlovski vs Ibragim Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

34-24-0Record22-8-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
77"ReachTBD
245 lbsWeight230 lbs
American Top TeamTeamRed Devil Sport Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrei ArlovskiNow 1646
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634
Ibragim MagomedovNow 1647
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.82
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
46%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
0.37
Takedown avg.
Not available
35%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
77%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.20
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Andrei ArlovskiIbragim Magomedov
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (50%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
3 (9%)
Submission
5 (23%)
14 (41%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrei Arlovski58%
Ibragim Magomedov 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrei Arlovski a 58% favorite over Ibragim Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ibragim Magomedov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1647), separated by just 1 points.

Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Ibragim Magomedov 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.