Andrei Arlovski vs Josh Barnett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
34-24-0Record35-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
77"Reach78,0"
245 lbsWeight248 lbs
American Top TeamTeamUWF USA
What's at stake
Josh Barnett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Andrei Arlovski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1654
If they lose-7→ 1630
If they win+7→ 1784
If they lose-17→ 1760
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrei ArlovskiJosh Barnett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Barnett78%
Andrei Arlovski 22%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Barnett a 78% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Josh Barnett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1637, a 140-point edge.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Josh Barnett 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.