Andrei Arlovski vs Pedro Rizzo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-24-0Record20-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
77"ReachTBD
245 lbsWeight244 lbs
American Top TeamTeamRuas Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Pedro Rizzo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Andrei Arlovski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1650
If they lose-11→ 1626
If they win+11→ 1684
If they lose-13→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrei ArlovskiPedro Rizzo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Rizzo70%
Andrei Arlovski 30%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Rizzo a 70% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Pedro Rizzo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1673 to 1637, a 36-point edge.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Rizzo 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.