Andrei Arlovski vs Pedro Rizzo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-24-0Record20-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
77"ReachTBD
245 lbsWeight244 lbs
American Top TeamTeamRuas Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Pedro Rizzo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Andrei Arlovski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1659
If they lose-11→ 1635
If they win+11→ 1684
If they lose-13→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andrei ArlovskiPedro Rizzo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrei Arlovski56%
Pedro Rizzo 44%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrei Arlovski a 56% favorite over Pedro Rizzo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pedro Rizzo's way (46%).
Pedro Rizzo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1673 to 1646, a 27-point edge.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Rizzo 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.