Andrei Arlovski vs Ricco Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-24-0Record54-27-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
77"ReachTBD
245 lbsWeight225 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Fight Club
What's at stake
Andrei Arlovski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ricco Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1656
If they lose-14→ 1632
If they win+14→ 1608
If they lose-10→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andrei ArlovskiRicco Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrei Arlovski56%
Ricco Rodriguez 44%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrei Arlovski a 56% favorite over Ricco Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Andrei Arlovski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1594, a 52-point edge.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ricco Rodriguez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Ricco Rodriguez 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.