Andrei Arlovski vs Steven Asplund
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-24-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
77"Reach78"
245 lbsWeight261 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMcCune's Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andrei ArlovskiSteven Asplund
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrei Arlovski54%
Steven Asplund 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrei Arlovski a 54% favorite over Steven Asplund in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1646), separated by just 0 points.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Steven Asplund 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.