Andrei Arlovski vs Tim Sylvia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-24-0Record31-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'8"
77"ReachTBD
245 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Extreme
What's at stake
Tim Sylvia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Andrei Arlovski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1652
If they lose-9→ 1628
If they win+9→ 1723
If they lose-15→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrei ArlovskiTim Sylvia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tim Sylvia75%
Andrei Arlovski 25%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Tim Sylvia a 75% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Tim Sylvia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1714 to 1637, a 77-point edge.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Tim Sylvia enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Tim Sylvia 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.