Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrei Arlovski vs Travis Browne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

34-24-0Record18-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'7"
77"Reach79,0"
245 lbsWeight244 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGlendale Fighting Club

What's at stake

Travis Browne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Andrei Arlovski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrei ArlovskiNow 1637
If they win+14→ 1651
If they lose-10→ 1627
Travis BrowneNow 1696
If they win+10→ 1706
If they lose-14→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.82
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
46%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.31
57%
Strike defense
43%
0.37
Takedown avg.
1.21
35%
Takedown accuracy
69%
77%
Takedown defense
75%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Andrei ArlovskiTravis Browne
1650170017502015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

17 (50%)
KO/TKO
14 (78%)
3 (9%)
Submission
2 (11%)
14 (41%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Travis Browne78%
Andrei Arlovski 22%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Travis Browne a 78% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Travis Browne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1637, a 59-point edge.

Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Travis Browne 89%.

Travis Browne carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.