Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrei Arlovski vs Vladimir Matyushenko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

34-24-0Record27-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
77"ReachTBD
245 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamVMAT

What's at stake

Vladimir Matyushenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Andrei Arlovski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrei ArlovskiNow 1637
If they win+14→ 1651
If they lose-10→ 1627
Vladimir MatyushenkoNow 1684
If they win+10→ 1694
If they lose-14→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.82
Sig. strikes / min
1.95
46%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.98
57%
Strike defense
60%
0.37
Takedown avg.
2.89
35%
Takedown accuracy
40%
77%
Takedown defense
71%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Andrei ArlovskiVladimir Matyushenko
1650170017502012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

17 (50%)
KO/TKO
12 (44%)
3 (9%)
Submission
4 (15%)
14 (41%)
Decision
11 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Vladimir Matyushenko72%
Andrei Arlovski 28%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Vladimir Matyushenko a 72% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Vladimir Matyushenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1684 to 1637, a 47-point edge.

Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Vladimir Matyushenko 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.