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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrei Arlovski vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

34-24-0Record17-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
77"Reach78"
245 lbsWeight262 lbs
American Top TeamTeamUltimate Kombat Fitness

What's at stake

Waldo Cortes-Acosta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Andrei Arlovski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrei ArlovskiNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-8→ 1638
Waldo Cortes-AcostaNow 1762
If they win+11→ 1773
If they lose-21→ 1741

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.82
Sig. strikes / min
5.34
46%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
57%
Strike defense
54%
0.37
Takedown avg.
0.40
35%
Takedown accuracy
0%
77%
Takedown defense
74%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Andrei ArlovskiWaldo Cortes-Acosta
165017001750180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
3 (9%)
Submission
1 (6%)
14 (41%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Waldo Cortes-Acosta79%
Andrei Arlovski 21%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Waldo Cortes-Acosta a 79% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Waldo Cortes-Acosta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1762 to 1646, a 116-point edge.

Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Waldo Cortes-Acosta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.