Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrei Semenov vs Michel Pereira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

34-9-2Record32-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
TeamOvercome Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrei SemenovNow 1698
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
Michel PereiraNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.51
Sig. strikes / min
4.46
13%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
61%
Strike defense
51%
0.77
Takedown avg.
1.21
50%
Takedown accuracy
57%
56%
Takedown defense
76%
0.77
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Andrei SemenovMichel Pereira
17001750201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (32%)
KO/TKO
11 (34%)
15 (44%)
Submission
9 (28%)
8 (24%)
Decision
12 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Michel Pereira70%
Andrei Semenov 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michel Pereira a 70% favorite over Andrei Semenov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrei Semenov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1695), separated by just 3 points.

Andrei Semenov enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Andrei Semenov finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Michel Pereira 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.