Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrei Semenov vs Ricardo Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

34-9-2Record13-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Andrei Semenov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ricardo Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrei SemenovNow 1698
If they win+9→ 1707
If they lose-15→ 1683
Ricardo AlmeidaNow 1603
If they win+20→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.51
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
13%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.20
61%
Strike defense
61%
0.77
Takedown avg.
3.74
50%
Takedown accuracy
38%
56%
Takedown defense
31%
0.77
Submission avg.
1.21

Trajectory

Andrei SemenovRicardo Almeida
16001650170020092010201120122013

Win method breakdown

11 (32%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
15 (44%)
Submission
5 (38%)
8 (24%)
Decision
8 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrei Semenov64%
Ricardo Almeida 36%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrei Semenov a 64% favorite over Ricardo Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Andrei Semenov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1603, a 95-point edge.

Andrei Semenov enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Andrei Semenov finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Almeida 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.