Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrei Semenov vs Ryan Gandra

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Gandra
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Ryan Gandra

“Problema”

10-1-0MiddleweightUFC

1695Good

Tale of the tape

34-9-2Record10-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrei SemenovNow 1698
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
Ryan GandraNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.51
Sig. strikes / min
11.71
13%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
61%
Strike defense
74%
0.77
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
56%
Takedown defense
100%
0.77
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andrei SemenovRyan Gandra
160016501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (32%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
15 (44%)
Submission
1 (10%)
8 (24%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Gandra71%
Andrei Semenov 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Gandra a 71% favorite over Andrei Semenov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrei Semenov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1695), separated by just 3 points.

Andrei Semenov enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Ryan Gandra enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Andrei Semenov finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gandra 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.