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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrej Kalašnik vs Antônio Braga Neto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record9-3-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
-Reach77,0"
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jetsaam Gym Brno· 1620 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTeam Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrej KalašnikNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Antônio Braga NetoNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.36
Not available
Strike accuracy
33%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
Not available
Strike defense
45%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.07
Not available
Takedown accuracy
38%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Andrej KalašnikAntônio Braga Neto
1600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
1 (8%)
Submission
7 (78%)
6 (46%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrej Kalašnik58%
Antônio Braga Neto 42%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrej Kalašnik a 58% favorite over Antônio Braga Neto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1583), separated by just 4 points.

Andrej Kalašnik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Antônio Braga Neto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrej Kalašnik finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Antônio Braga Neto 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.