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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrej Kalašnik vs Nick Pica

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Pica
us

Nick Pica

“The Silverback”

5-1-0MiddleweightBFC

1586Solid

Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record5-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jetsaam Gym Brno· 1620 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTeam Black

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrej KalašnikNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Nick PicaNow 1586
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Andrej KalašnikNick Pica
1600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
1 (8%)
Submission
2 (40%)
6 (46%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrej Kalašnik62%
Nick Pica 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrej Kalašnik a 62% favorite over Nick Pica in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1586), separated by just 1 points.

Andrej Kalašnik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrej Kalašnik finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Nick Pica 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.