Andrej Kalašnik vs Wilson Gouveia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-0Record14-8-0
WelterweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight219 lbs
Jetsaam Gym Brno· 1620 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andrej KalašnikWilson Gouveia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrej Kalašnik54%
Wilson Gouveia 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrej Kalašnik a 54% favorite over Wilson Gouveia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1586), separated by just 1 points.
Andrej Kalašnik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Wilson Gouveia enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Andrej Kalašnik finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Gouveia 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.