Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrej Kalašnik vs Curtis Millender

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record22-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
-Reach78"
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jetsaam Gym Brno· 1621 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamCSW

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrej KalašnikNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
Curtis MillenderNow 1596
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.95
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.43
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andrej KalašnikCurtis Millender
1600165020242025

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
1 (8%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (46%)
Decision
15 (68%)

Combat Edge model read

Curtis Millender69%
Andrej Kalašnik 31%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Millender a 69% favorite over Andrej Kalašnik in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrej Kalašnik's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1596), separated by just 0 points.

Curtis Millender enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andrej Kalašnik finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Curtis Millender 32%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.